SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Aston Villa |
30.49% ( -1.92) | 24.2% ( -0.6) | 45.31% ( 2.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( 1.95) | 43.63% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( 1.88) | 66.02% ( -1.89) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.27) | 27.16% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( -0.35) | 62.57% ( 0.35) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( 1.91) | 19.42% ( -1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( 3.05) | 51.24% ( -3.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.66)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.15% Total : 45.31% |
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