SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Liverpool |
30.67% ( -0.49) | 22.9% ( -0.07) | 46.42% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 63.47% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0.11) | 37.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.39% ( 0.12) | 59.61% ( -0.13) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.24) | 23.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( -0.34) | 58.2% ( 0.33) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( 0.25) | 16.52% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% ( 0.46) | 46.27% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.44% Total : 46.42% |
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