SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Fulham |
41.94% ( 0.09) | 24.72% ( -0.01) | 33.34% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -0) | 44.94% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( -0) | 67.29% ( 0) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( 0.04) | 21.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( 0.06) | 54.49% ( -0.06) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.05) | 26.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.07) | 61.04% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.34% |
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