Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.