Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.