Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Malmo
25.42% ( -0.53)	22.78% ( -0.33)	51.8% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.33% (

1.05)

40.66% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.95% (

1.07)

63.05% (

-1.07)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.15)

29.24% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

0.18)

65.19% (

-0.18)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

0.69)

15.8% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04% (

1.25)

44.95% (

-1.26)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 25.42%

Malmo 51.8%

Draw 22.78%

Elfsborg	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.42%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.63% Total : 51.8%