SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| GAIS | Draw | Varnamo |
45.51% ( 0.64) | 25.78% ( -0.11) | 28.71% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.17) | 51.4% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 0.15) | 73.22% ( -0.15) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.37) | 22.55% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.55) | 56.13% ( -0.56) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.31) | 32.37% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( -0.35) | 68.88% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| GAIS | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.71% |
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