Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Varnamo
68.47% ( -0.11)	17.78% ( 0.09)	13.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.63% (

-0.43)

35.36% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.6% (

-0.48)

57.39% (

0.48)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59% (

-0.14)

9.4% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.36% (

-0.33)

31.64% (

0.33)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9% (

-0.27)

38.1% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

-0.26)

74.86% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Malmo 68.47%

Varnamo 13.75%

Draw 17.78%

Malmo	Draw	Varnamo
2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.46% Total : 68.47%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.78%	1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 13.75%