SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
27.23% ( -0.34) | 23.76% ( -0.15) | 49.01% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( 0.41) | 43.65% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( 0.4) | 66.04% ( -0.4) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0.04) | 29.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -0.05) | 65.44% ( 0.04) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.35) | 17.93% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( 0.59) | 48.75% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.01% |
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