SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
30.19% ( 0.06) | 24.77% ( 0.01) | 45.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.01) | 46.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.01) | 68.65% ( 0.01) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.04) | 28.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.05) | 64.57% ( -0.04) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.03) | 20.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( -0.05) | 53.24% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.04% |
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