SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
37.53% ( -0.13) | 25.29% ( 0.25) | 37.18% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -1.18) | 46.98% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -1.11) | 69.23% ( 1.11) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.6) | 24.58% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( -0.85) | 59.08% ( 0.85) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.61) | 24.78% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0.85) | 59.34% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.18% |
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