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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia U21s
2 - 2
Belgium U21s

Tsitaishvili (51'), Guliashvili (87')
Gocholeishvili (59'), Kalandadze (83'), Azarovi (89'), Guliashvili (89'), Mamardashvili (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
De Cuyper (15'), Ramazani (38')
Vranckx (71'), De Winter (90+3'), Van Der Brempt (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-0 Portugal U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Belgium U21s 0-0 Netherlands U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Georgia Under-21s 1-1 Belgium Under-21s

With Georgia aiming for a fourth successive clean sheet and Belgium only conceding in one of their last four games in all competitions, the footballing gods could bless us with a low-scoring affair on the Tbilisi turf. The hosts ruthlessly capitalised on Portugal's defensive lapses in midweek, but Belgium could have easily made the net ripple against the Netherlands had it not been for a Verbruggen blinder, and another closely-contested affair could end with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia Under-21s win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Georgia Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
40.45% (0.848 0.85) 25.04% (-0.381 -0.38) 34.51% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 57.29% (1.233 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (1.634 1.63)46.13% (-1.634 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (1.527 1.53)68.43% (-1.525 -1.52)
Georgia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (1.151 1.15)22.7% (-1.148 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (1.676 1.68)56.35% (-1.674 -1.67)
Belgium Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (0.5 0.5)25.89% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (0.672 0.67)60.87% (-0.671 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Georgia Under-21s 40.45%
    Belgium Under-21s 34.51%
    Draw 25.04%
Georgia Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.174 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.161 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-0 Portugal U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-1 Slovakia U21s
Thursday, November 12 at 10am in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Georgia U21s 1-0 Azerbaijan U21s
Tuesday, October 13 at 4pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Georgia U21s 0-3 Switzerland U21s
Friday, October 9 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Lie'stein U21s 0-2 Georgia U21s
Tuesday, September 8 at 4pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Georgia U21s 0-2 France U21s
Friday, September 4 at 6pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Belgium U21s 0-0 Netherlands U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Bosnia U21s 3-2 Belgium U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 5.15pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Moldova U21s 1-0 Belgium U21s
Tuesday, October 13 at 3pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Belgium U21s 5-0 Wales U21s
Friday, October 9 at 7pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Belgium U21s 4-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 8 at 3pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Germany U21s 2-3 Belgium U21s
Sunday, November 17 at 3pm in European Under-21 Championship


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