Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium Under-21s win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.