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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Georgia Under-21s had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Georgia Under-21s win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Georgia Under-21s | Draw | Portugal Under-21s |
20.58% ( -17.71) | 20.9% ( 0.34) | 58.52% ( 17.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -15.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.49% ( -14.33) | 37.51% ( 14.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.27% ( -17.23) | 59.73% ( 17.23) |
| Georgia Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -17.85) | 31.6% ( 17.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( -26.98) | 68% ( 26.98) |
| Portugal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( 0.16) | 12.6% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.29% ( 0.32) | 38.71% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia Under-21s | Draw | Portugal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -1.64) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 1.11)2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -2.67)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -2.6)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -1.27)Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( 2.34) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -1.65)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 2.23)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -1.82)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 2.47) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 4.83)0-1 @ 8.25% ( 4.64)1-3 @ 6.8% ( 1.73)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 3.35)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -1.11)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.91)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 1.74)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.56)1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.39)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.72)Other @ 3.96% Total : 58.52% |
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