Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Gaziantep | Draw | Hatayspor |
47.1% ( 0.4) | 25.82% ( -0.16) | 27.08% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.15% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( 0.48) | 52.47% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( 0.41) | 74.14% ( -0.41) |
Gaziantep Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0.38) | 22.27% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( 0.57) | 55.72% ( -0.57) |
Hatayspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% ( 0.06) | 34.19% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.11% ( 0.07) | 70.89% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gaziantep | Draw | Hatayspor |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.08% |
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