SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 78.78%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 7.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Hatayspor |
78.78% ( -4.11) | 13.46% ( 2.09) | 7.74% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( 3.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.71% ( -2.13) | 32.28% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.1% ( -2.52) | 53.89% ( 2.52) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( -1.18) | 6.5% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.73% ( -3.34) | 24.26% ( 3.33) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.02% ( 4.04) | 46.97% ( -4.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.53% ( 2.88) | 82.46% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 10.39% ( -1.03)2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.76)1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 7.1% ( -1.28)4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.27)5-0 @ 3.88% ( -1.03)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.38)5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.13)6-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.63)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.28)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.78% | 1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.61)0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.85% Total : 13.46% | 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.58) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.48)Other @ 3.05% Total : 7.74% |
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