SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Sudan |
65.59% ( 0.14) | 21.52% ( -0.07) | 12.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( 0.11) | 53.56% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( 0.09) | 75.07% ( -0.09) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( 0.08) | 15.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.37% ( 0.16) | 44.63% ( -0.16) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.13% ( -0.06) | 50.87% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.75% ( -0.04) | 85.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 12.89% |
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