SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Sudan |
66.17% ( 0.01) | 21.21% ( -0.04) | 12.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.21) | 52.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( 0.18) | 74.55% ( -0.18) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% ( 0.07) | 15.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.1% ( 0.14) | 43.9% ( -0.14) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.18) | 50.94% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.7% ( 0.12) | 85.3% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 66.16% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 12.62% |
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