SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Ghana |
29.87% ( -0.21) | 28.76% ( -0.26) | 41.36% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.79) | 61.88% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% ( 0.58) | 81.64% ( -0.58) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.27) | 37.06% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( 0.26) | 73.85% ( -0.27) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 0.66) | 29.46% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( 0.8) | 65.46% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
