SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 8.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Central African Republic |
75.01% ( 0.13) | 16.86% ( -0) | 8.14% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 38.87% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.39) | 47.29% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.36) | 69.52% ( 0.37) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.05% ( -0.07) | 10.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.83% ( -0.16) | 35.17% ( 0.16) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.56) | 56.35% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.33% ( -0.32) | 88.67% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 2-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 74.99% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 16.86% | 0-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.14% |
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