Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
