SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Gillingham |
40.62% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( 0.01) | 35.23% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.06) | 41.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( -0.06) | 64.24% ( 0.06) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( 0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( 0.05) | 53.39% ( -0.05) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.1) | 23.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.14) | 57.49% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Gillingham |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.23% |
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