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League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
G

Barrow
2 - 0
Gillingham

Chester (40'), Acauah (55')
Stockton (4'), Spence (9'), Campbell (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coleman (39'), Williams (66'), Masterson (90+6'), Hutton (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Gillingham

Barrow may enter Tuesday's game as something of an unknown quantity given their lengthy break from League Two football, although Wild and co would have been afforded ample time to dissect their team's recent defensive woes. In contrast, Gillingham need no lessons in shutting up shop, but Barrow's fresh legs can wear down a jaded Gills backline and nick a point for their fans upon their return to football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawGillingham
41.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.42% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.19% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 41.61%
    Gillingham 30.96%
    Draw 27.42%
BarrowDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barrow
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Swindon
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Gillingham
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in League Two


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