SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Giresunspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
30.73% ( -0.06) | 25.64% ( -0.02) | 43.63% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( 0.07) | 49.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( 0.06) | 71.87% ( -0.07) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0) | 30.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 0.07) | 22.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( 0.1) | 56.47% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Giresunspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.63% |
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