Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
Result | ||
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
55.3% ( -0.06) | 22.66% ( 0.02) | 22.03% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.28% ( -0.02) | 43.72% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.89% ( -0.02) | 66.11% ( 0.02) |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( -0.03) | 15.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.26% ( -0.05) | 44.74% ( 0.05) |
Ankaragucu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( 0.03) | 33.77% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( 0.03) | 70.43% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Ankaragucu |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.3% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.03% |
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