Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
Result | ||
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Giresunspor |
70.43% ( -0.52) | 18.97% ( 0.21) | 10.61% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 41.95% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( -0.06) | 48.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( -0.06) | 70.91% ( 0.06) |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.36% ( -0.16) | 12.64% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.21% ( -0.35) | 38.79% ( 0.35) |
Giresunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.03% ( 0.56) | 51.98% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.01% ( 0.36) | 85.99% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Giresunspor |
2-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 70.43% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.97% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.61% |
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