Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
Result | ||
Ankaragucu | Draw | Giresunspor |
58.91% ( -0) | 21.73% ( 0.14) | 19.36% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% ( -0.83) | 43.11% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.5% ( -0.82) | 65.51% ( 0.83) |
Ankaragucu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( -0.27) | 14.3% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.89% ( -0.53) | 42.11% ( 0.54) |
Giresunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( -0.62) | 36.05% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( -0.64) | 72.83% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Ankaragucu | Draw | Giresunspor |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.9% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.36% |
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