SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
30.04% ( -0.39) | 24.72% ( 0.05) | 45.24% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( -0.43) | 46.22% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( -0.41) | 68.51% ( 0.41) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.48) | 28.76% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -0.6) | 64.6% ( 0.6) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.03) | 20.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -0.05) | 53% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.24% |
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