Girona have only dropped points in three of their 14 home league games this season, but injuries are really hurting the Catalan side at the moment, and we can see Real Betis ending their losing run this weekend to claim a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
-0.2) 
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