Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.05) 
