SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
61.59% ( 0.15) | 19.64% ( -0.05) | 18.77% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( 0.1) | 34.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% ( 0.11) | 56.1% ( -0.11) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( 0.07) | 10.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.26% ( 0.15) | 34.74% ( -0.15) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.04) | 31.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( -0.04) | 67.79% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.6% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 18.77% |
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