SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
55.15% ( 1.21) | 23.42% ( -0.33) | 21.43% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( 0.39) | 47.69% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( 0.36) | 69.89% ( -0.36) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( 0.58) | 17.15% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.61% ( 1.02) | 47.39% ( -1.02) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( -0.63) | 36.58% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( -0.64) | 73.37% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.43% |
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