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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
RB

Atletico
2 - 1
Betis

Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
55.15% (1.208 1.21) 23.42% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.43% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)47.69% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.356 0.36)69.89% (-0.358 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.583 0.58)17.15% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.02 1.02)47.39% (-1.02 -1.02)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.631 -0.63)36.58% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.642 -0.64)73.37% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.15%
    Real Betis 21.43%
    Draw 23.41%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Betis
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Alaves
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Betis
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Getafe
Sunday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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