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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 0
Portadown

Campbell (28'), Quinn (90+2')
Malone (22'), Byrne (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (15'), McCartan (77'), Mackinnon (86')
McCarey (88')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Glenavon
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Crusaders
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawPortadown
40.29% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.61% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.1% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)48.71% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.12%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.37% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.012 -0.01)62.83% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 40.29%
    Portadown 34.1%
    Draw 25.6%
GlenavonDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.29%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Glenavon
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-3 Coleraine
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-3 Glentoran
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Crusaders
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 2-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Portadown
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Glenavon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-2 Portadown
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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