Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
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