SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Portadown win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
15.48% ( 0.05) | 18.25% ( 0.06) | 66.27% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.2) | 33.69% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.22) | 55.51% ( 0.22) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.06) | 34.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( -0.06) | 71.46% ( 0.06) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.53% ( -0.08) | 9.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.22% ( -0.19) | 31.78% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 15.48% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.25% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.65% Total : 66.27% |
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