SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Coleraine |
27.3% ( 0.01) | 24.94% ( 0.01) | 47.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( -0.01) | 48.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( -0.01) | 70.88% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0) | 32.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0) | 68.53% ( -0) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.01) | 20.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( -0.02) | 52.93% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.3% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.74% |
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