SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
16.34% ( 0.02) | 21.18% ( 0.02) | 62.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.05) | 45.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.05) | 67.95% ( 0.06) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% ( -0.01) | 41.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% ( -0.01) | 77.59% ( 0.02) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.02) | 14.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( -0.05) | 41.55% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.33% 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.48% |
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