SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | FC Minsk |
46.62% ( -0.38) | 25.77% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( 0.19) | 51.98% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( 0.16) | 73.72% ( -0.16) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.09) | 22.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.14) | 55.74% ( 0.14) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.39) | 33.52% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( 0.43) | 70.16% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.61% |
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