SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
27.61% ( -0.08) | 23.18% ( -0.01) | 49.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.01) | 40.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.92% ( -0.01) | 63.08% ( 0.01) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.07) | 27.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( -0.08) | 63.17% ( 0.08) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( 0.03) | 16.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% ( 0.05) | 46.66% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.2% |
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