Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
48.53% ( 0.63) | 23.69% ( -0.02) | 27.77% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( -0.3) | 42.96% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( -0.3) | 65.36% ( 0.3) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% ( 0.13) | 17.86% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% ( 0.22) | 48.62% ( -0.22) |
Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.58) | 28.69% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -0.73) | 64.51% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.77% |
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