Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
