SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
44.24% ( 0.57) | 24.11% ( -0.02) | 31.64% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.12) | 42.71% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.11) | 65.12% ( 0.12) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.2) | 19.5% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( 0.33) | 51.39% ( -0.33) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.39) | 25.98% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.54) | 60.99% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.64% |
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