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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
29.98% ( -0.85) | 23.07% ( 0.07) | 46.95% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.82) | 38.61% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.88) | 60.92% ( 0.88) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.93) | 25% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -1.3) | 59.66% ( 1.3) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.02) | 16.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( -0.05) | 46.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grasshopper Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.27% Total : 46.95% |
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