SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
55.09% ( -2.01) | 23% ( 0.8) | 21.91% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -2.02) | 45.36% ( 2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( -1.96) | 67.7% ( 1.96) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -1.38) | 16.34% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -2.56) | 45.94% ( 2.56) |
| Brechin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.02) | 34.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( 0.02) | 71.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.91% |
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