SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Greenock Morton |
21.43% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( -0) | 55.43% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.01) | 46.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.01) | 68.76% ( 0.01) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( -0.01) | 35.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( -0.01) | 72.67% ( 0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% | 16.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( -0) | 46.44% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.43% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.89% 0-3 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.95% 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 55.43% |
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