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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
22.36% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( -0.06) | 53.6% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( 0.2) | 49.26% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( 0.18) | 71.32% ( -0.18) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.08) | 36.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( 0.08) | 73.35% ( -0.08) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( 0.11) | 18.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( 0.18) | 49.39% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.36% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.59% |
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