This is a clash between a decent home side and a poor away side, but Gremio have struggled to kill off teams even when they dominate games and this could hand Cruzeiro some lifeline despite their inconsistencies on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Cruzeiro
40.89% ( -0.04)	27.41% ( 0.01)	31.7% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.03)

56.59% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.02)

77.57% (

0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.04)

27.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.05)

62.59% (

0.05)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

0.01)

32.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

0.01)

69.46% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gremio 40.89%

Cruzeiro 31.7%

Draw 27.41%

Gremio	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.7%