SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | The Strongest |
71.58% ( 0.08) | 17.08% ( -0.02) | 11.33% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.09) | 38.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.34% ( -0.1) | 60.65% ( 0.1) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.53% ( -0.01) | 9.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.23% ( -0.01) | 31.76% ( 0.01) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.12% ( -0.18) | 43.88% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.97% ( -0.15) | 80.02% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | The Strongest |
| 2-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 71.58% | 1-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.33% |
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