SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
38.27% ( -0.09) | 23.77% ( -0.01) | 37.96% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.07) | 39.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( 0.07) | 62.07% ( -0.07) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.02) | 20.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.03) | 53.71% ( 0.03) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.08) | 21.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( 0.13) | 53.93% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.96% |
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