SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Nicaragua |
40.54% ( 0.01) | 28.08% ( -0.02) | 31.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( 0.06) | 59.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( 0.04) | 79.56% ( -0.05) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( 0.03) | 28.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( 0.04) | 64.38% ( -0.05) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.03) | 34.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( 0.03) | 71.15% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.38% |
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