SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Iceland |
43.67% ( -0.15) | 28.22% ( 0.09) | 28.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.98% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.27% ( -0.28) | 60.72% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.21% ( -0.21) | 80.79% ( 0.22) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.21) | 27.64% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( -0.27) | 63.18% ( 0.28) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( -0.11) | 37.84% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( -0.1) | 74.61% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.1% |
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